Marius Ã…rthun RF4 leader University of Bergen marius.arthun@uib.no
Morten Skogen RF4 co-leader Institute of Marine Research morten@hi.no
The Nansen Legacy uses empirical, conceptual, statistical, or physical models (including hindcasts), or a combination thereof, for the diagnosis of the present Barents environment and prognosis of its future.
A variety of numerical general circulation models (GCMs) are used and improved from the range of weather and sea ice forecast models, to regional ice-ocean hindcast models, to fully coupled earth system models tailored for predicting (seasons to decades) or projecting the future (decades to centuries, including what-if scenarios).
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Report Best Practices for Ecological Model Evaluation 1
The novelty of the work lies in how the combination of model approaches e.g., of process-based and non-deterministic models constitute a framework for the projection of ecosystem states into the future.