Team leaders

Publications ‘Physical drivers’

Arild Sundfjord
RF1 leader
Norwegian Polar Institute

Camille Li
RF1 co-leader
University of Bergen


Boutin G, Ólason E, Rampal P, Regan H, Lique C, Talandier C, Brodeau L, Ricker R (2023) Arctic sea ice mass balance in a new coupled ice–ocean model using a brittle rheology framework. The Cryosphere 17: 617–638.

Herrmannsdörfer L, Müller M, Shupe MD, Rostosky P (2023) Surface temperature comparison of the Arctic winter MOSAiC observations, ERA5 reanalysis, and MODIS satellite retrieval. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene 11(1): 0008.

Ingvaldsen RBEriksen EGjøsæter H, Engås A, Schuppe BK, Assmann KMCannaby HDalpadado PBluhm BA (2023) Under-ice observations by trawls and multi-frequency acoustics in the Central Arctic Ocean reveals abundance and composition of pelagic fauna. Scientific Reports 13: 1000.

Outten S, Li C, King MP, Suo L, Siew PY, Cheung H, Davy R, Dunn-Sigouin E, Furevik T, He S, Madonna E, Sobolowski S, Spengler T, Woollings T (2023) Reconciling conflicting evidence for the cause of the observed early 21st century Eurasian cooling. Weather and Climate Dynamics 4(1): 95-114.
Rebault J, Müller M, Voermans J, Brazhnikov D, Marchenko A, Biuw M, Nose T, Waseda T, Johansson M, Breivik Ø, Sutherland G, Hole LR, Johnson M, Jensen A,  Gundersen O, Kristoffersen Y, Babanin A, Tedesco P, Christensen KH, Kristiansen M, Hope G, Kodaira T, de Aguiar V, Taelman C, Quigely CP, Filchuk K, Mahoney AR (2023) A dataset of direct observations of sea ice drift and waves in ice. Scientific Data 10, 251.


Artana C, Provost C, Koenig Z, Athanase M, Asgari A (2022) Atlantic Water inflow through the Yermak Pass Branch: evolution since 2007. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 127: e2021JC018006.

Brown NJ, Mauritzen CLi CMadonna EIsachsen PELaCasce JH (2022) Rapid response of the Norwegian Atlantic Slope Current to wind forcing.  Journal of Physical Oceanography 53(2): 389-408.

Connan-McGinty S, Banas NS, Berge J, Cottier F, Grant S, Johnsen G, Kopec TP, Porter M, McKee D (2022) Midnight sun to polar night: a model of seasonal light in the Barents Sea. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 14:10.

de Aguiar VC, Dagestad K-F, Hole LR, Barthel KS (2022) Quantitative assessment of two oil-in-ice surface drift algorithms. Marine Pollution Bulletin 175: 10.

Duarte PAssmy P, Campbell K, Sundfjord A (2022) The importance of turbulent ocean-sea ice nutrient exchanges for simulation of ice algal biomass and production with CICE6.1 and Icepack 1.2. Geoscientific Model Development 15(2): 841-857.

Hordoir R, Skagseth ØIngvaldsen RB, Sandø AB, Löptien U, Dietze H, Gierisch AMU, Assmann KMLundesgaard ØLind S (2022) Changes in Arctic stratification and mixed layer depth cycle: a modeling analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 127: e2021JC017270.

Koenig Z, Meyer A, Provost C, Sennéchael N, Sundfjord A, Gascard J-C Atlantic Water circulation and properties northwest of Svalbard during anomalous southerly winds. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans n/a: e2021JC018357.

Koenig ZKalhagen KKolås EFer INilsen F, Cottier F (2022) Atlantic Water properties, transport and heat loss from mooring observations north of Svalbard. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 127: e2022JC018568.

Kolås EH, Mo-Bjørkelund T, Fer I(2022) Technical note: Turbulence measurements from a light autonomous underwater vehicle. Ocean Science 18: 389-400.

Lundesgaard Ø, Sundfjord A, Lind S, Nilsen F, Renner AHH (2022) Import of Atlantic Water and sea ice controls the ocean environment in the northern Barents Sea. Ocean Science 18: 1389–1418.

Mohamed B, Nilsen F, Skogseth R (2022) Interannual and decadal variability of sea surface temperature and sea ice concentration in the Barents Sea. Remote Sensing 17: 4413. doi:10.3390/rs14174413

Mohamed B, Nilsen F, Skogseth R (2022) Marine heatwaves characteristics in the Barents Sea based on high resolution satellite data (1982–2020). Frontiers in Marine Science 9.

Muilwijk M, Nummelin A, Heuzé C, Polyakov IV, Zanowski H, Smedsrud LH (2022) Divergence in climate model projections of future Arctic Atlantification. Journal of Climate 1-53.

Müller M, Kelder T, Palerme C (2022) Decline of sea-ice in the Greenland Sea intensifies extreme precipitation over Svalbard. Weather and Climate Extremes 36: 100437.

Ólason E, Boutin G, Korosov A, Rampal P, Williams T, Kimmritz M, Dansereau V, Samaké A (2022) A new brittle rheology and numerical framework for large-scale sea-ice models. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 14.

Petit T, Hamre B, Sandven H, Röttgers R, Kowalczuk P, Zablocka M, Granskog MA (2022) Inherent optical properties of dissolved and particulate matter in an Arctic fjord (Storfjorden, Svalbard) in early summer. Ocean Science 18: 455-468.

Pieńkowski AJ, Husum K, Furze MFA, Missana AFJM, Irvalı N, Divine DV, Eilertsen VT (2022) Revised ΔR values for the Barents Sea and its archipelagos as a pre-requisite for accurate and robust marine-based 14C chronologies. Quaternary Geochronology: 101244.

Rabault J, Nose T, Hope G, Müller M, Breivik Ø, Voermans J, Hole LR, Bohlinger P, Waseda T, Kodaira T, Katsuno T, Johnson M, Sutherland G, Johanson M, Christensen KH, Garbo A, Jensen A, Gundersen O, Marchenko A, Babanin A (2022) OpenMetBuoy-v2021: An easy-to-build, affordable, customizable, open-source instrument for oceanographic measurements of drift and waves in sea ice and the open ocean. Geosciences 12: 110.

Skjoldal HR, Eriksen EGjøsæter HSkagseth Ø, Prozorkevich DA, Lien VS (2022) Recruitment variability of fish stocks in the Barents Sea: spatial and temporal variation in 0-group fish length of six commercial species during recent decades of warming (1980–2017). Progress in Oceanography 206: 102845.

Smedsrud LH, Muilwijk M, Brakstad A, Madonna E, Lauvset SK, Spensberger C, Born A, Eldevik T, Drange H, Jeansson E, Li C, Olsen A, Skagseth Ø, Slater DA, Straneo F, Våge K, Årthun M (2022) Nordic Seas heat loss, Atlantic inflow, and Arctic sea ice cover over the last century. Reviews of Geophysics 60: e2020RG000725.

Sutherland G, de Aguiar V, Hole LR, Rabault J, Dabboor M, Breivik, Ø (2022) Estimating a mean transport velocity in the marginal ice zone using ice–ocean prediction systems. The Cryosphere 16(5): 2103-2114.

Thomas E, Müller M (2022) Characterizing vertical upper ocean temperature structures in the European Arctic through unsupervised machine learning. Ocean Modelling 177:102092.


Aaboe S, Lind S, Hendricks S, Down E, Lavergne T,  Ricker R (2021) Ch. 4.1 Sea-ice and ocean conditions surprisingly normal in the Svalbard-Barents Sea region after large sea-ice inflows in 2019. In von Schuckmann K, Le Traon PY, Smith N, Pascual A, Djavidnia S, Gattuso JP, Grégoire M (Eds.), Copernicus Marine Service Ocean State Report, Issue 5. Journal of Operational Oceanography 14(sup1), 1-185.

Dunn-Sigouin E, Li C, Kushner PJ (2021) Limited influence of localized tropical sea-surface temperatures on moisture transport into the Arctic. Geophysical Research Letters n/a.

Koenig Z, Kolås EH, Fer I (2021) Structure and drivers of ocean mixing north of Svalbard in summer and fall 2018. Ocean Science 17: 365-381.

Li J, Li F, He S, Wang H, Orsolini YJ (2021) The Atlantic multidecadal variability phase dependence of teleconnection between the North Atlantic Oscillation in February and the Tibetan Plateau in March. Journal of Climate 34: 4227-4242.

Lundesgaard Ø, Sundfjord A, Renner AHH (2021) Drivers of interannual sea ice concentration variability in the Atlantic Water inflow region north of Svalbard. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans n/a: e2020JC016522.

Løken TK, Rabault J, Jensen A, Sutherland G, Christensen KH, Müller M (2021) Wave measurements from ship mounted sensors in the Arctic marginal ice zone. Cold Regions Science and Technology 182: 103207.

Madonna E, Battisti DS, Li C, White RH (2021) Reconstructing winter climate anomalies in the Euro-Atlantic sector using circulation patterns. Weather Clim Dynam 2: 777-794.

Madonna E, Sandø AB (2021) Understanding differences in North Atlantic poleward ocean heat transport and its variability in global climate models. Geophysical Research Letters n/a: e2021GL096683.

Melsom A (2021) Edge displacement scores. The Cryosphere 15: 3785-3796.

Nilsen F, Ersdal EA, Skogseth R (2021) Wind-driven variability in the Spitsbergen Polar Current and the Svalbard branch across the Yermak Plateau. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 126: e2020JC016734.

Ólason E, Rampal P, Dansereau V (2021) On the statistical properties of sea-ice lead fraction and
heat fluxes in the Arctic. The Cryosphere 15: 1053-1064.

Pieńkowski AJ, Husum K, Belt ST, Ninnemann U, Köseoğlu D, Divine DV, Smik L, Knies J, Hogan K, Noormets R (2021) Seasonal sea ice persisted through the Holocene Thermal Maximum at 80°N. Communications Earth & Environment 2: 124.

Rösel A, Farrell SL, Nandan V, Richter-Menge J, Spreen G, Divine DV, Steer A, Gallet JC, Gerland S (2021) Implications of surface flooding on airborne estimates of snow depth on sea ice. The Cryosphere 15: 2819-2833.

Siew PYF, Li C, Ting M, Sobolowski SP, Wu Y, Chen X (2021) North Atlantic Oscillation in winter is largely insensitive to autumn Barents-Kara sea ice variability. Science Advances 7: eabg4893. doi:10.1126/sciadv.abg4893

Thomas EE, Müller M, Bohlinger P, Batrak Y, Szapiro N (2021) A kilometer-scale coupled atmosphere-wave forecasting system for the European Arctic. Weather and Forecasting.


Asbjørnsen H, Årthun M, Skagseth Ø, Eldevik T (2020) Mechanisms underlying recent arctic Atlantification. Geophysical Research Letters 47: e2020GL088036. 

Duarte P, Sundfjord A, Meyer A, Hudson SR, Spreen G, Smedsrud LH (2020) Warm Atlantic Water explains observed sea ice melt rates north of Svalbard. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
125: e2019JC015662.

Fer I, Koenig Z, Kozlov IE, Ostrowski M, Rippeth TP, Padman L, Bosse A, Kolås E (2020) Tidally forced lee waves drive turbulent mixing along the Arctic Ocean margins. Geophysical Research Letters 47: e2020GL088083.

Koenig Z, Fer I, Kolås E, Fossum TO, Norgren P, Ludvigsen M (2020) Observations of turbulence
at a near-surface temperature front in the Arctic Ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
125: e2019JC015526.

Kolås EH, Koenig Z, Fer I, Nilsen F, Marnela M (2020) Structure and transport of Atlantic Water north of Svalbard from observations in summer and fall 2018. Journal of Geophysical Research:
Oceans 125: e2020JC016174.

Madonna E, Hes G, Li C, Michel C, Siew PYF (2020) Control of Barents Sea wintertime cyclone
variability by large-scale atmospheric flow. Geophysical Research Letters 47: e2020GL090322.

Park H, Watanabe E, Kim Y, Polyakov I, Oshima K, Zhang X, Kimball JS, Yang D (2020) Increasing riverine heat influx triggers arctic sea ice decline and oceanic and atmospheric warming. Science Advances 6: eabc4699. 10.1126/sciadv.abc4699

Polyakov IV, Alkire MB, Bluhm BA, Brown KA, Carmack EC, Chierici M, Danielson SL, Ellingsen I, Ershova EA, Gårdfeldt K, Ingvaldsen RB, Pnyushkov AV, Slagstad D, Wassmann P (2020)
Borealization of the Arctic Ocean in response to anomalous advection from sub-Arctic Seas.
Frontiers in Marine Science 7: 491.

Rabault J, Sutherland G, Gundersen O, Jensen A, Marchenko A, Breivik Ø (2020) An open source,
versatile, affordable waves in ice instrument for scientific measurements in the Polar Regions. Cold Regions Science and Technology 170: 102955.

Shen H, Li F, He S, Orsolini YJ, Li J (2020) Impact of late spring Siberian snow on summer rainfall in
South-Central China. Climate Dynamics 54: 3803-3818.

Siew PYF, Li C, Sobolowski SP, King MP (2020) Intermittency of Arctic–mid-latitude
teleconnections: stratospheric pathway between autumn sea ice and the winter North Atlantic Oscillation. Weather Climate Dynamics 1: 261-275.

Skagseth Ø, Eldevik T, Årthun M, Asbjørnsen H, Lien VS, Smedsrud LH (2020) Reduced efficiency of the Barents Sea cooling machine. Nature Climate Change 10: 661-666.


Crews L, Sundfjord A, Hattermann T (2019) How the Yermak Pass Branch regulates Atlantic Water inflow to the Arctic Ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 124: 267-280.

Melsom A, Palerme C, Müller M (2019) Validation metrics for ice edge position forecasts. Ocean
Sceince 15: 615-630.

Palerme C, Müller M, Melsom A (2019) An intercomparison of verification scores for evaluating the sea ice edge position in seasonal forecasts. Geophysical Research Letters 46: 4757-4763.


Renner AHH, Sundfjord A, Janout MA, Ingvaldsen RB, Beszczynska-Möller A, Pickart RS, Pérez-Hernández MD (2018) Variability and redistribution of heat in the Atlantic Water Boundary
Current north of Svalbard. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 123: 6373-6391.