Team leaders

Publications ‘The future Barents Sea’

Marius Årthun
RF4 leader
University of Bergen

Morten Skogen
RF4 co-leader
Institute of Marine Research


Aarflot, J. M., Dalpadado, P., Fiksen, Ø. (2020) Foraging success in planktivorous fish increases with topographic blockage of prey distributions. Marine Ecology Progress Series644:129-142. 

Asbjørnsen, H., Årthun, M., Skagseth, Ø., Eldevik, T. (2020). Mechanisms underlying recent Arctic Atlantification. Geophysical Research Letters.doi: 10.1029/2020GL088036

Eldevik, T., Haugan, P.M. (2020). That’s a lot of water. Nature Physics 16, 496 (2020).

Fransner, F., Counillon, F., Bethke, I., Tjiputra, J., Samuelsen, A., Nummelin, A., Olsen, A.(2020). Ocean Biogeochemical Predictions – Initialization and Limits of Predictability, Frontiers in Marine Research, in press, 

Pecuchet, L., Blanchet, M.-A., Frainer, A., Husson, B., Jørgensen, L.L., Kortsch, S., Primicerio, R. (2020). Novel feeding interactions amplify the impact of species redistribution on an Arctic food web. Global Change Biology, in press. 

Shen, H., Li, F., He, S., Orsolini, Y. J., Li, J.  (2020). Impact of late spring Siberian snow on summer rainfall in South-Central China. Climate Dynamics 54, 3803–3818. 

Skagseth, Ø., Eldevik, T., Årthun, M., Asbjørnsen, H., Lien, V. S., Smedsrud, L. H. (2020). Reduced efficiency of the Barents Sea coolingmachine. Nature Climate Change 10, 661–666. 


Batrak, Y. and Müller M. (2019). On the warm bias in atmospheric reanalyses induced by the missing snow over Arctic sea-ice. Nature Communications, 10:4170. doi:10.1038/s41467-019-11975-3 

Melsom, A., Palerme, C. and Müller M. (2019). Validation metrics for ice edge position forecasts. Ocean Science, 15(3): 615-630. doi:10.5194/os-15-615-2019 

Palerme, C., Müller, M. and Melsom A. (2019). An intercomparison of verification scores forevaluating the sea ice edge position in seasonalforecasts. Geophysical Research Letters, 46(9): 4757-4763. doi:10.1029/2019GL082482  

Planque, B. and Mullon C. (2019). Modelling chance and necessity in natural systems. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 1-16. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsz173 

Årthun, M., Eldevik, T. and Smedsrud L.H. (2019) The role of Atlantic heat transport in future Arctic winter sea ice loss. Journal of Climate, 32 (11):3327-3341. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0750.1 


Batrak, Y. and Müller, M. (2018). Atmospheric response to kilometer-scale changes in sea ice concentration within the marginal ice zone. Geophysical Research Letters, 45: 6702-6709.

Muilwijk M, Smedsrud L.H., Ilicak M, and Drange H (2018). Atlantic Water Heat Transport Variability in the 20th Century Arctic Ocean From a Global Ocean Model and Observations. Journal of Geophysical Research, 123 (11): 8159-8179. 

Onarheim, I.H., Eldevik, T., Smedsrud, L.H. and Stroeve, J.C. (2018). Seasonal and regional manifestation of Arctic sea ice loss. Journal of Climate, 31: 4917-4932. 

Årthun M, Bogstad B, Daewel U, Keenlyside N.S., Sandø AB, Schrum C, et al. (2018). Climate based multi-year predictions of the Barents Sea cod stock. PLoS ONE, 13(10): e0206319.