Team leaders

Publications ‘The future Barents Sea’

Marius Årthun
RF4 leader
University of Bergen
marius.arthun@uib.no

Morten Skogen
RF4 co-leader
Institute of Marine Research
morten@hi.no

2022

Durant JM, Ono K, Langangen O (2022) Empirical evidence of nonlinearity in bottom up effect in a marine predator-prey system. Biology Letters 18: 20220309. doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2022.0309

Duarte P, Brændshøi J, Shcherbin D, Barras P, Albretsen J, Gusdal Y, Szapiro N, Martinsen A, Samuelsen A, Wang K, Debernard JB (2022) Implementation and evaluation of open boundary conditions for sea ice in a regional coupled ocean (ROMS) and sea ice (CICE) modeling system. Geoscientific Model Development 15: 4373-4392. doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-4373-2022

Efstathiou E, Eldevik T, Årthun M, Lind S (2022) Spatial patterns, mechanisms, and predictability of Barents Sea ice change. Journal of Climate 35: 2961-2973. doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0044.1

Husson B, Lind S, Fossheim M, Kato-Solvang H, Skern-Mauritzen M, Pécuchet L, Ingvaldsen RB, Dolgov AV, Primicerio R (2022) Successive extreme climatic events lead to immediate, large-scale, and diverse responses from fish in the Arctic. Global Change Biology n/a.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16153

Pedersen T (2022) Comparison between trophic positions in the Barents Sea estimated from stable isotope data and a mass balance model. Frontiers in Marine Science 9. doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2022.813977

Planque B, Aarflot JM, Buttay L, Carroll J, Fransner F, Hansen C, Husson B, Langangen Ø, Lindstrøm U, Pedersen T, Primicerio R, Sivel E, Skogen MD, Strombom E, Stige LC, Varpe Ø, Yoccoz NG (2022) A standard protocol for describing the evaluation of ecological models. Ecological Modelling 471: 110059. doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110059

Shu Q, Wang Q, Årthun M, Wang S, Song Z, Zhang M, Qiao F (2022) Arctic Ocean Amplification in a warming climate in CMIP6 models. Science Advances 8: eabn9755. doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abn9755

Sivel EPlanque B, Lindstrøm UYoccoz NG (2022) Combined effects of temperature and fishing mortality on the Barents Sea ecosystem stability. Fisheries Oceanography: 1-15. 
https://doi.org/10.1111/fog.12604

Aarflot JM, Hjøllo SS, Strand E, Skogen MD (2022) Transportation and predation control structures the distribution of a key calanoid in the Nordic Seas. Progress in Oceanography 202: 102761. doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2022.102761

2021

Bethke I, Wang Y, Counillon F, Keenlyside N, Kimmritz M, Fransner F, Samuelsen A, Langehaug H, Svendsen L, Chiu PG, Passos L, Bentsen M, Guo C, Gupta A, Tjiputra J, Kirkevåg A, Olivié D, Seland Ø, Solsvik Vågane J, Fan Y et al. (2021) NorCPM1 and its contribution to CMIP6 DCPP. Geoscientific Model Development 14: 7073-7116. doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-7073-2021

Dörr J, Årthun M, Eldevik T, Madonna E (2021) Mechanisms of regional winter sea-ice variability in a warming Arctic. Journal of Climate 34: 8635-8653. doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0149.1

Løken TK, Rabault J, Jensen A, Sutherland G, Christensen KH, Müller M (2021) Wave measurements from ship mounted sensors in the Arctic marginal ice zone. Cold Regions Science and Technology 182: 103207. doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2020.103207

Melsom A (2021) Edge displacement scores. The Cryosphere Discuss 2021: 1-14. doi.org/10.5194/tc-2020-3612

Ólason E, Rampal P, Dansereau V (2021) On the statistical properties of sea-ice lead fraction and
heat fluxes in the Arctic. The Cryosphere 15: 1053-1064. doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-1053-2021

Pedersen T, Mikkelsen N, Lindstrøm U, Renaud PE, Nascimento MC, Blanchet M-A, Ellingsen IH, Jørgensen LL, Blanchet H (2021) Overexploitation, recovery, and warming of the Barents Sea ecosystem during 1950–2013. Frontiers in Marine Science 8. doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2021.732637

Silva E, Counillon F, Brajard J, Korosov A, Pettersson LH, Samuelsen A, Keenlyside N (2021) Twenty-one years of phytoplankton bloom phenology in the Barents, Norwegian, and North Seas. Frontiers in Marine Science 8. doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2021.746327

Sivel E, Planque B, Lindstrøm U, Yoccoz NG (2021) Multiple configurations and fluctuating trophic control in the Barents Sea food-web. PLOS ONE 16: e0254015. doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0254015

Thomas EE, Müller M, Bohlinger P, Batrak Y, Szapiro N (2021) A kilometer-scale coupled atmosphere-wave forecasting system for the European Arctic. Weather and Forecasting. doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10506320.1

Årthun M, Onarheim IH, Dörr J, Eldevik T (2021) The seasonal and regional transition to an ice-free Arctic. Geophysical Research Letters 48: e2020GL090825. doi.org/10.1029/2020GL090825

2020

Asbjørnsen H, Årthun M, Skagseth Ø, Eldevik T (2020) Mechanisms underlying recent arctic Atlantification. Geophysical Research Letters 47: e2020GL088036.
doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088036 

Pecuchet L, Blanchet M-A, Frainer A, Husson B, Jørgensen LL, Kortsch S, Primicerio R (2020)
Novel feeding interactions amplify the impact of species redistribution on an arctic food web. Global Change Biology 26: 4894-4906. doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15196

Skagseth Ø, Eldevik T, Årthun M, Asbjørnsen H, Lien VS, Smedsrud LH (2020) Reduced efficiency of the Barents Sea cooling machine. Nature Climate Change 10: 661-666.
doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0772-6

Aarflot JMDalpadado P, Fiksen Ø (2020) Foraging success in planktivorous fish increases with
topographic blockage of prey distributions. Marine Ecology Progress Series 644: 129-142.
doi.org/10.3354/meps13343

2019

Batrak Y, Müller M (2019) On the warm bias in atmospheric reanalyses induced by the missing snow over arctic sea-ice. Nature Communications 10: 4170. doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-11975-3

Melsom A, Palerme C, Müller M (2019) Validation metrics for ice edge position forecasts. Ocean
Sceince 15: 615-630. doi.org/10.5194/os-15-615-2019

Palerme C, Müller M, Melsom A (2019) An intercomparison of verification scores for evaluating the sea ice edge position in seasonal forecasts. Geophysical Research Letters 46: 4757-4763.
doi.org/10.1029/2019GL0824825

Planque B, Mullon C (2019) Modelling chance and necessity in natural systems. ICES Journal of
Marine Science 77: 1573-1588. doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsz173

Årthun M, Eldevik T, Smedsrud LH (2019) The Role of Atlantic heat transport in future arctic winter sea ice loss. Journal of Climate 32: 3327-3341. doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0750.1

2018

Batrak Y, Müller M (2018) Atmospheric response to kilometer-scale changes in sea ice concentration within the marginal ice zone. Geophysical Research Letters 45: 6702-6709.
doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078295

Muilwijk M, Smedsrud LH, Ilicak M, Drange H (2018) Atlantic Water heat transport variability in the 20th century Arctic Ocean from a global ocean model and observations. Journal of
Geophysical Research: Oceans 123: 8159-8179. doi.org/10.1029/2018JC014327

Onarheim IH, Eldevik T, Smedsrud LH, Stroeve JC (2018) Seasonal and regional manifestation of Arctic Sea ice loss. Journal of Climate 31: 4917-4932. doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0427.1

Årthun M, Bogstad B, Daewel U, Keenlyside NS, Sandø AB, Schrum C, Ottersen G (2018) Climate based multi-year predictions of the Barents Sea cod stock. PLOS ONE 13: e0206319.
doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0206319