Marius Årthun
RF4 leader
University of Bergen
marius.arthun@uib.no
Morten Skogen
RF4 co-leader
Institute of Marine Research
morten@hi.no
Asbjørnsen H, Eldevik T, Skrefsrud J, Johnson HL, Sanchez-Franks A (2024) Observed change and the extent of coherence in the Gulf Stream system. Ocean Science, 20, 799–816. https://doi.org/10.5194/os-20-799-2024
Bonan DB, Dörr J, Wills RCJ, Thompson AF, Årthun M (2024) Sources of low-frequency variability in observed Antarctic sea ice, The Cryosphere, 18, 2141–2159. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2141-2024
Calvet N, Bluhm BA, Yoccoz NG, Altenburger A (2024) Shifting invertebrate distributions in the Barents Sea since pre-1900. Frontiers in Marine Science, 11, 1421475. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2024.1421475
, , , , (2024) Causal links between sea-ice variability in the Barents-Kara Seas and oceanic and atmospheric drivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL108195. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108195
Dörr J, Årthun M, Eldevik T, Sandø AB (2024). Expanding influence of Atlantic and Pacific Ocean heat transport on winter sea‐ice variability in a warming Arctic. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129(2), e2023JC019900. doi.org/10.1029/2023JC019900
Dupont N, Durant JM, Langangen Ø, Stige LC (2024) Changes in prey-predator interactions in an Arctic food web under climate change. Progress in Oceanography, 229, 103380. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103380
Durant JM, Dupont N, Ono K, Langangen Ø (2024) Interaction between three key species in the sea ice-reduced Arctic Barents Sea system. Proceedings Royal Society B, 291:20241408. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2024.1408
Durant JM, Holt RE, Langangen Ø (2024) Large biomass reduction effect on the relative role of climate, fishing, and recruitment on fish population dynamics. Scientific Reports 14, 8995. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-59569-4
Gawinski C, Basedow SL, Sundfjord A, Svensen C (2024) Secondary production at the Barents Sea polar front in summer: contribution of different size classes of mesozooplankton. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 735:77-101. doi.org/10.3354/meps14570
Gawinski C, Daase M, Primicerio R, Amargant-Arumí M, Müller O, Wold A, Ormańczyk MR, Kwasniewski S, Svensen C (2024). Response of the copepod community to interannual differences in sea-ice cover and water masses in the northern Barents Sea. Frontiers in Marine Science, 11, 1308542. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2024.1308542
Haug T, Biuw M, Kovacs KM, Lindblom L, Lindstrøm U, Lydersen C, MacKenzie KM, Meier S (2024) Trophic interactions between common minke whales (Balaenoptera acutorostrata) and their prey during summer in the northern Barents Sea. Progress in Oceanography, 224, 103267. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103267
Kalhagen K, Skogseth R, Baumann TM, Falck E, Fer I (2024) An emerging pathway of Atlantic Water to the Barents Sea through the Svalbard Archipelago: drivers and variability. Ocean Science, 20, 981–1001. https://doi.org/10.5194/os-20-981-2024
Kolås EH, Baumann TM, Skogseth R, Koenig Z, Fer I (2024) Circulation and hydrography in the northwestern Barents Sea: insights from recent observations and historical data (1950–2022). Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129(8). https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JC020211
Kolås EH, Fer I, Bauwmann TM (2024) The Polar Front in the northwestern Barents Sea: structure, variability and mixing. Ocean Science, 20, 895-916, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-20-895-2024
Langangen Ø, Durant JM (2024) Persistence of fish populations to longer, more intense, and more frequent mass mortality events. Global Change Biology, 30, e17251. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17251
Ogilvie AEJ, King LA, Keenlyside N, Counillon F, Daviđsdóttir B, Einarsson N, Gulev S, Fan K, Koenigk T, McGoodwin JR, Rasmusson MH, Yang S (2024). Recent Ventures in Interdisciplinary Arctic Research: The ARCPATH Project. Adv. Atmos. Sci. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-3333-x
Onarheim IH, Årthun M, Teigen SH, Eik KJ, Steele M (2024). Recent thickening of the Barents Sea ice cover. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL108225. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108225
Pérez FF, Becker M, Goris N, Gehlen M, López‐Mozos M, Tjiputra J, Olsen A, Müller JD, Huertas IE, Chau TTT, Caínzos V, Velo A, Bernard G, Hauck J, Gruber N, Wanninkhof R (2024). An Assessment of CO2Storage and Sea‐Air Fluxes for the Atlantic Ocean and Mediterranean Sea Between 1985 and 2018. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. American Geophysical Union (AGU). http://doi.org/10.1029/2023gb007862
Planque B, Bas L, Biuw M, Blanchet MA, Bogstad B, Eriksen E, Drouineau H, Hansen C, Husson B, Mousing EA, Mullon C, Pedersen T, Skogen MD, Slotte A, Staby A, Lindstrøm U (2024) A food-web assessment model for marine mammals, fish, and fisheries in the Norwegian and Barents Seas. Progress in Oceanography, 229, 103361. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103361
Aarflot JM, Eriksen E, Prokopchuk IP, Svensen C, Søreide JE, Wold A, Skogen MD (2023) New insights into the Barents Sea Calanus glacialis population dynamics and distribution. Progress in Oceanography 103106. doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2023.103106
Baumann TM, Fer I (2023) Trapped tidal currents generate freely propagating internal waves at the Arctic continental slope. Scientific Reports, 13(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-41870-3
Brown NJ, Mauritzen C, Li C, Madonna E, Isachsen PE, LaCasce JH. (2023). Rapid Response of the Norwegian Atlantic Slope Current to Wind Forcing, Journal of physical oceanography 53(2),389-408. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-22-0014.1
Dinh KV, Albini D, Orr JA, Macaulay SJ, Rillig MC, Borgå K, Jackson MC (2023) Winter is coming: Interactions of multiple stressors in winter and implications for the natural world. Global Change Biology, 29(24), 6834-6845. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16956
Dörr JS, Bonan DB, Årthun M, Svendsen L, Wills RCJ (2023) Forced and internal components of observed Arctic sea-ice changes. The Cryosphere, 17, 4133–4153. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-4133-2023
, , , 2023) Predatory walls may impair climate warming-associated population expansion. Ecology e4130. doi.org/10.1002/ecy.4130
Ericson Y, Fransson A, Chierici M, Jones EM, Skjelvan I, Omar A, Olsen A, Becker M (2023) Rapid fCO2 rise in the northern Barents Sea and Nansen Basin. Progress in Oceanography 217, 103079 doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2023.103079
Fransner F, Olsen A, Årthun M, Counillon F, Tjiputra J, Samuelsen A, Keenlyside N (2023) Phytoplankton abundance in the Barents Sea is predictable up to five years in advance. Nature Communications Earth & Environment 4, 141. doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-00791-9
Gerland S, Ingvaldsen RB, Reigstad M, Sundfjord A, Bogstad B, Chierici M, Hop H, Renaud PE, Smedsrud LH, Stige LC, Årthun M, Berge J, Bluhm BA, Borgå K, Bratbak G, Divine DV, Eldevik T, Eriksen E, Fer I, Fransson A, Gradinger R, Granskog MA, Haug T, Husum K, Johnsen G, Jonassen MO, Jørgensen LL, Kristiansen S, Larsen A, Lien VS, Lind S, Lindstrøm U, Mauritzen C, Melsom A, Mernild SH, Müller M, Nilsen F, Primicerio R, Søreide JE, van der Meeren GI, Wassmann P (2023) Still Arctic?—The changing Barents Sea. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, 11 (1): 00088. https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.2022.00088
Korosov A, Rampal P, Ying Y, Ólason E, Williams T (2023) Towards improving short-term sea ice predictability using deformation observations. The Cryosphere, 17, 4223–4240. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-4223-2023
Langbehn TJ, Aarflot JM, Freer JJ, Varpe Ø (2023) Visual predation risk and spatial distributions of large Arctic copepods along gradients of sea ice and bottom depth. Limnology and Oceanography. doi.org/10.1002/lno.12354
Müller M, Batrak Y, Dinesen F, Grote R, Wang K (2023) Challenges in the description of sea-ice for a kilometer-scale weather forecasting system. Weather and Forecasting. doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0134.1
Nascimento MC, Husson B, Guillet L, Pedersen T (2023) Modelling the spatial shifts of functional groups in the Barents Sea using a climate-driven spatial food web model. Ecological Modelling 481: 110358. doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2023.110358
Rabault J, Müller M, Voermans J, Brazhnikov D, Marchenko A, Biuw M, Nose T, Waseda T, Johansson M, Breivik Ø, Sutherland G, Hole LR, Johnson M, Jensen A, Gundersen O, Kristoffersen Y, Babanin A, Tedesco P, Christensen KH, Kristiansen M, Hope G, Kodaira T, de Aguiar V, Taelman C, Quigely CP, Filchuk K, Mahoney AR (2023) A dataset of direct observations of sea ice drift and waves in ice. Scientific Data 10, 251. doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02160-9
Regan H, Rampal P, Ólason E, Boutin G, Korosov A (2023) Modelling the evolution of Arctic multiyear sea ice over 2000–2018. The Cryosphere, 17(5), 1873–1893. doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-1873-2023
Renner AHH, Bailey A, Reigstad M, Sundfjord A, Chierici M, Jones E (2023) Hydrography, inorganic nutrients and chlorophyll a linked to sea ice cover in the Atlantic Water inflow region north of Svalbard. Progress in Oceanography, 219, 103162. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2023.103162
Rieke O, Årthun M, Dörr JS (2023) Rapid sea ice changes in the future Barents Sea. The Cryosphere 17: 1445-1456. doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-1445-2023
Schmidt LS, Schuler TV, Thomas EE, Westermann S (2023) Meltwater runoff and glacier mass balance in the high Arctic: 1991–2022 simulations for Svalbard. The Cryosphere, 17, 2941–2963. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-2941-2023
Spensberger C, Li C, Spengler T. (2023) Linking Instantaneous and Climatological Perspectives on Eddy-Driven and Subtropical Jets, Journal of Climate, 36 (24) 8525-8537. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0080.1
Aarflot JM, Hjøllo SS, Strand E, Skogen MD (2022) Transportation and predation control structures the distribution of a key calanoid in the Nordic Seas. Progress in Oceanography 202: 102761. doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2022.102761
Cornish SB, Johnson HL, Mallett RDC, Dörr J, Kostov Y, Richards AE (2022) Rise and fall of sea ice production in the Arctic Ocean’s ice factories. Nature Communications 13: 7800. doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-34785-6
Dunse T, Dong K, Aas KS, Stige LC (2022) Regional-scale phytoplankton dynamics and their association with glacier meltwater runoff in Svalbard. Biogeosciences 19(2): 271-294. doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-271-2022
Durant JM, Ono K, Langangen O (2022) Empirical evidence of nonlinearity in bottom up effect in a marine predator-prey system. Biology Letters 18: 20220309. doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2022.0309
Duarte P, Brændshøi J, Shcherbin D, Barras P, Albretsen J, Gusdal Y, Szapiro N, Martinsen A, Samuelsen A, Wang K, Debernard JB (2022) Implementation and evaluation of open boundary conditions for sea ice in a regional coupled ocean (ROMS) and sea ice (CICE) modeling system. Geoscientific Model Development 15: 4373-4392. doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-4373-2022
Efstathiou E, Eldevik T, Årthun M, Lind S (2022) Spatial patterns, mechanisms, and predictability of Barents Sea ice change. Journal of Climate 35: 2961-2973. doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0044.1
Husson B, Lind S, Fossheim M, Kato-Solvang H, Skern-Mauritzen M, Pécuchet L, Ingvaldsen RB, Dolgov AV, Primicerio R (2022) Successive extreme climatic events lead to immediate, large-scale, and diverse responses from fish in the Arctic. Global Change Biology n/a.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16153
Payne MR, Danabasoglu G, Keenlyside N, Matei D, Miesner AK, Yang S, Yeager SG (2022) Skillful decadal-scale prediction of fish habitat and distribution shifts. Nature Communications 13(1): 1-9. doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-30280-0
Pedersen T (2022) Comparison between trophic positions in the Barents Sea estimated from stable isotope data and a mass balance model. Frontiers in Marine Science 9. doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2022.813977
Planque B, Aarflot JM, Buttay L, Carroll J, Fransner F, Hansen C, Husson B, Langangen Ø, Lindstrøm U, Pedersen T, Primicerio R, Sivel E, Skogen MD, Strombom E, Stige LC, Varpe Ø, Yoccoz NG (2022) A standard protocol for describing the evaluation of ecological models. Ecological Modelling 471: 110059. doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110059
Planque B, Favreau A, Husson B, Mousing EA, Hansen C, Broms C, Lindstrøm U, Sivel E (2022) Quantification of trophic interactions in the Norwegian Sea pelagic food-web over multiple decades. ICES Journal of Marine Science 79(6): 1815-1830. doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsac111
Shu Q, Wang Q, Årthun M, Wang S, Song Z, Zhang M, Qiao F (2022) Arctic Ocean Amplification in a warming climate in CMIP6 models. Science Advances 8: eabn9755. doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abn9755
Sivel E, Planque B, Lindstrøm U, Yoccoz NG (2022) Combined effects of temperature and fishing mortality on the Barents Sea ecosystem stability. Fisheries Oceanography: 1-15.
https://doi.org/10.1111/fog.12604
Bethke I, Wang Y, Counillon F, Keenlyside N, Kimmritz M, Fransner F, Samuelsen A, Langehaug H, Svendsen L, Chiu PG, Passos L, Bentsen M, Guo C, Gupta A, Tjiputra J, Kirkevåg A, Olivié D, Seland Ø, Solsvik Vågane J, Fan Y et al. (2021) NorCPM1 and its contribution to CMIP6 DCPP. Geoscientific Model Development 14: 7073-7116. doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-7073-2021
Dörr J, Årthun M, Eldevik T, Madonna E (2021) Mechanisms of regional winter sea-ice variability in a warming Arctic. Journal of Climate 34: 8635-8653. doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0149.1
Løken TK, Rabault J, Jensen A, Sutherland G, Christensen KH, Müller M (2021) Wave measurements from ship mounted sensors in the Arctic marginal ice zone. Cold Regions Science and Technology 182: 103207. doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2020.103207
Melsom A (2021) Edge displacement scores. The Cryosphere Discuss 2021: 1-14. doi.org/10.5194/tc-2020-3612
Ólason E, Rampal P, Dansereau V (2021) On the statistical properties of sea-ice lead fraction and
heat fluxes in the Arctic. The Cryosphere 15: 1053-1064. doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-1053-2021
Pedersen T, Mikkelsen N, Lindstrøm U, Renaud PE, Nascimento MC, Blanchet M-A, Ellingsen IH, Jørgensen LL, Blanchet H (2021) Overexploitation, recovery, and warming of the Barents Sea ecosystem during 1950–2013. Frontiers in Marine Science 8. doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2021.732637
Silva E, Counillon F, Brajard J, Korosov A, Pettersson LH, Samuelsen A, Keenlyside N (2021) Twenty-one years of phytoplankton bloom phenology in the Barents, Norwegian, and North Seas. Frontiers in Marine Science 8. doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2021.746327
Sivel E, Planque B, Lindstrøm U, Yoccoz NG (2021) Multiple configurations and fluctuating trophic control in the Barents Sea food-web. PLOS ONE 16: e0254015. doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0254015
Thomas EE, Müller M, Bohlinger P, Batrak Y, Szapiro N (2021) A kilometer-scale coupled atmosphere-wave forecasting system for the European Arctic. Weather and Forecasting. doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10506320.1
Årthun M, Onarheim IH, Dörr J, Eldevik T (2021) The seasonal and regional transition to an ice-free Arctic. Geophysical Research Letters 48: e2020GL090825. doi.org/10.1029/2020GL090825
Aarflot JM, Dalpadado P, Fiksen Ø (2020) Foraging success in planktivorous fish increases with topographic blockage of prey distributions. Marine Ecology Progress Series 644: 129-142. doi.org/10.3354/meps13343
Asbjørnsen H, Årthun M, Skagseth Ø, Eldevik T (2020) Mechanisms underlying recent arctic Atlantification. Geophysical Research Letters 47: e2020GL088036.
doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088036
Løken TK, Rabault J, Thomas EE, Müller M, Christensen KH, Sutherlad G, Jensen A (2020) A comparison of wave observations in the Arctic marginal ice zone with spectral models. Proceedings of the IAHR International Symposium on ice 2020 s.499-508. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2003.09472
Pecuchet L, Blanchet M-A, Frainer A, Husson B, Jørgensen LL, Kortsch S, Primicerio R (2020) Novel feeding interactions amplify the impact of species redistribution on an arctic food web. Global Change Biology 26: 4894-4906. doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15196
Skagseth Ø, Eldevik T, Årthun M, Asbjørnsen H, Lien VS, Smedsrud LH (2020) Reduced efficiency of the Barents Sea cooling machine. Nature Climate Change 10: 661-666. doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0772-6
Batrak Y, Müller M (2019) On the warm bias in atmospheric reanalyses induced by the missing snow over arctic sea-ice. Nature Communications 10:4170. doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-11975-3
Melsom A, Palerme C, Müller M (2019) Validation metrics for ice edge position forecasts. Ocean Sceince 15: 615-630. doi.org/10.5194/os-15-615-2019
Palerme C, Müller M, Melsom A (2019) An intercomparison of verification scores for evaluating the sea ice edge position in seasonal forecasts. Geophysical Research Letters 46: 4757-4763. doi.org/10.1029/2019GL0824825
Planque B, Mullon C (2019) Modelling chance and necessity in natural systems. ICES Journal of Marine Science 77: 1573-1588. doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsz173
Årthun M, Eldevik T, Smedsrud LH (2019) The Role of Atlantic heat transport in future arctic winter sea ice loss. Journal of Climate 32: 3327-3341. doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0750.1
Batrak Y, Müller M (2018) Atmospheric response to kilometer-scale changes in sea ice concentration within the marginal ice zone. Geophysical Research Letters 45: 6702-6709. doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078295
Muilwijk M, Smedsrud LH, Ilicak M, Drange H (2018) Atlantic Water heat transport variability in the 20th century Arctic Ocean from a global ocean model and observations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 123: 8159-8179. doi.org/10.1029/2018JC014327
Onarheim IH, Eldevik T, Smedsrud LH, Stroeve JC (2018) Seasonal and regional manifestation of Arctic Sea ice loss. Journal of Climate 31: 4917-4932. doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0427.1
Årthun M, Bogstad B, Daewel U, Keenlyside NS, Sandø AB, Schrum C, Ottersen G (2018) Climate based multi-year predictions of the Barents Sea cod stock. PLOS ONE 13: e0206319. doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0206319